Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 70.988983 79.963872 89.174902 99.303567 110.097749 121.228119 133.543480
2025-02-16 56.582254 69.337978 83.056901 98.780168 116.178798 134.728409 155.887875
2025-02-23 48.576413 63.450641 80.009280 99.545834 121.716531 145.868855 173.948030
2025-03-02 41.990443 58.220375 76.866156 99.432776 125.596888 154.611354 188.864086
2025-03-09 37.117343 54.387458 74.802374 100.066896 129.897610 163.470550 203.602292
2025-03-16 32.168102 49.936346 71.561764 98.920810 131.796785 169.316455 214.687880
2025-03-23 29.216316 47.691697 70.744249 100.445523 136.645995 178.419142 229.392999
2025-03-30 26.793756 45.892404 70.286243 102.244187 141.693566 187.662119 244.199261
2025-04-06 23.641463 42.821801 67.981520 101.558046 143.582156 193.065036 254.433930
2025-04-13 20.235845 39.081439 64.552018 99.234018 143.284756 195.724233 261.322890
2025-04-20 19.304265 38.809827 65.660473 102.664149 150.071459 206.865557 278.263889
2025-04-27 18.007160 37.874984 65.785465 104.754932 155.144107 215.916996 292.715426
2025-05-04 15.729244 35.269221 63.503634 103.627298 156.150204 220.057540 301.365448
2025-05-11 13.710462 32.872414 61.369421 102.581537 157.178053 224.173180 309.959812
2025-05-18 12.437978 31.567282 60.703685 103.440650 160.597168 231.201017 322.062184
2025-05-25 11.029935 29.882357 59.377056 103.313685 162.677801 236.528816 332.072458
2025-06-01 9.950222 28.659291 58.657126 103.964305 165.732049 243.047031 343.529448
2025-06-08 8.560806 26.699702 56.701329 102.791146 166.312843 246.411200 351.077420
2025-06-15 7.887798 26.032807 56.698059 104.351554 170.505330 254.328606 364.251924
2025-06-22 7.325936 25.524052 56.906531 106.192004 175.062533 262.710996 378.017221
2025-06-29 6.336043 24.000554 55.402858 105.489956 176.150484 266.644216 386.236246
2025-07-06 5.171621 21.900799 52.825531 103.111728 174.883804 267.502143 390.571315
2025-07-13 5.053140 22.176094 54.215950 106.621682 181.680485 278.759355 407.963877